Chris Paul Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 9:51 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has converted 58.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 24.6% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season on his home court.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has averaged 33.1% on three-pointers (5th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul will likely see a rise in productivity for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Warriors.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 13.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can generate more chances for offense).