Chris Paul Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +185 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
Chris Paul will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Chris Paul rates in the 22nd percentile for three-point efficiency while on his home court with a a bad 25.3% rate this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; their opposition has shot for the 9th-highest three rate in the league this year (37.8%).
The 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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