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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has averaged 8.2 assists per game at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Chris Paul will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Warriors have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Warriors.

The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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