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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has totaled 10.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Chris Paul has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage, which should boost plays for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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