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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Assists
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns

Chris Paul Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has totaled 10.4 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.

Chris Paul has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.

While at home, the Warriors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Chris Paul has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

The Warriors have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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