Chris Boucher Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Chris Boucher

NBA · Player Props

Chris Boucher

F-C · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 2:36 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Boucher Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Boucher has successfully made 61.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 9.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-point attempts; their opposition have averaged the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Pacers are the visiting team (29.8).
The Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Boucher has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.9% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a colossal 26.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (3rd-most in the league).

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