Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 17, 2026

Updated Jan 17, 2026 8:34 PM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.