Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Cason Wallace

NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cason Wallace has made 63.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 17.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Cason Wallace has converted 40.4% of his treys over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a favorable one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (19.0).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.
The Thunder check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 10th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Out of all players in the league, Cason Wallace slots into the 10th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, registering only 0.3 free throw attempts per game away from home this year.
In regard to drawing fouls, the Oklahoma City Thunder's unimpressive 18.8 foul shots per game as the visting team comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
Cason Wallace will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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