Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Cason Wallace

NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Cason Wallace slots into the 91st percentile for three-point prowess with a an exceptional 43.5% rate this year.
The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
On their home court, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Cason Wallace has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 24.5 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.
Cason Wallace will likely suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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