Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Cason Wallace

NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cason Wallace has sunk 60.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
As it relates to scoring, the Thunder's superb 120.6 points per game measures as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a good one; when the Raptors are the visiting squad, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The Raptors have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court, which should lead to more plays for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors (saving possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

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