Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace slots into the 83rd percentile for field goal effectiveness with a a remarkable 54.2% rate this year.
The Thunder check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.
This year, opposing clubs have averaged 33.9% on 3-pointers (6th-weakest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
This matchup is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a lowly 21.4 foul shots per game when the Mavericks are the visiting team this year (9th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Cason Wallace has converted 50.6% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 10.6% lower than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace slots into the 23rd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a mere 0.6 free throw attempts per game this year.