Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Cason Wallace

NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Cason Wallace comes in at the 93rd percentile for 3-point efficiency while playing at home with a an impressive 52.8% rate this year.
In terms of shooting, the Thunder's remarkable 119.6 points per game measures as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 2.6 3-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.
Cason Wallace has converted 100.0% of his free throws away from home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic tempo road offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 11.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (saving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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