Cason Wallace Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Cason Wallace

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Cason Wallace Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cason Wallace has successfully made 57.1% of his shots from downtown at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
In regard to offense, the Thunder's fantastic 116.4 points per game places 8th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have averaged 32.9 three attempts per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, marking this as a hard matchup.
The 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Cason Wallace has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts playing at home this year, ranking in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace rates in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a massive 0.0 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-slowest pace-of-play away team in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).
The Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about extra chances for offense).
Cason Wallace will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production for all stats.