Carlton Carrington Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Carlton Carrington

NBA · Player Props

Carlton Carrington

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Carlton Carrington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
The Wizards are expected to get a boost in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
As a team, the Wizards have been terrific at getting to the foul line of late: 6th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging 23.4 foul shot attempts per game.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Carlton Carrington will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Carlton Carrington measures in the 22nd percentile for scoring effectiveness with a subpar 39.0% rate this year.
Carlton Carrington has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Wizards rank 6thworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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