Carlton Carrington Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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Carlton Carrington

NBA · Player Props

Carlton Carrington

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Carlton Carrington Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Carlton Carrington has sunk 52.5% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 14.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have averaged 6.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
Carlton Carrington has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 12.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season on his home court.
As a team, the Washington Wizards have been very successful at drawing fouls in recent games: 7th-best in the league over the last 5 games while at home, tallying 23.8 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Carlton Carrington slots into the 96th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.2 fouls per game this year.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Washington Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making it tough to draw fouls.

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