Caris LeVert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2024

NBA · Player Props

Caris LeVert

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · May 13, 2024

Updated May 13, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Caris LeVert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Caris LeVert has attempted 11.4 shots per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Caris LeVert comes in at the 77th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, compiling 4.6 per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage as it relates to 3-point attempts.
Among all players in the league, Caris LeVert comes in at the 75th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a massive 2.4 free throws per game while at home this year.
Caris LeVert will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on shots from the field (4th-weakest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, creating a challenging matchup.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while on their home court.
The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish pace road team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.