Cameron Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has tallied 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 84th percentile.
The Knicks have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have brought down 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in more chances for offense).
Cameron Johnson is expected to get a boost in production across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Cameron Johnson has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the year at home.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while on their home court this year.

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