Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has tallied 20.2 points per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
Cameron Johnson has successfully made 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Cameron Johnson will likely see an increase in production across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's unimpressive 103.0 points per game measures as the weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 11.3 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive production.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has come down with 11.3 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).

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