Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has made 53.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's converted overall this year playing at home.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on shot attempts from the field (30th-best in the league) vs. the Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Nets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Cameron Johnson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.5% more than he's converted over the course of the season at home.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Nets's unimpressive 99.0 points per game places worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The Hawks have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Hawks may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).

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