Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 7:04 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson rates in the 78th percentile for shots taken on the road, registering 11.1 per game this year.
Cameron Johnson has successfully made 2.5 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Nets.
The Nets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are playing at home (23rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Nets rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nets.
While at home, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 2.8 mark, Cameron Johnson's number of free throw attempts has regressed this season to 1.6 free throw attempts per game.