Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 6:52 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has sunk 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Cameron Johnson has made 2.5 treys per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Nets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Nets's unimpressive 45.4% field goal rate measures as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on three-pointers (14th-worst in the NBA) against the Thunder, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have nabbed 13.1 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).
Cameron Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player production in all stat categories.