Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has attempted 6.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (17.4).
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase possessions for the Nets.
Cameron Johnson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

Cameron Johnson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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