Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Kings may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games (21st-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Brooklyn Nets have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year as it relates to three-point shots.
The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one; when the Kings are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 15 games (9.9).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Without the home court advantage, the Kings have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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