Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has made 2.1 3-point shots per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing squads have compiled the 4th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (45.7%).
The Nets have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to increased possessions for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Cameron Johnson has converted 83.6% of his free throws when playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 8th-least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.3).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league on the road this year.
The Nets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Nets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a mere 29.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).