Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has successfully made 40.9% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court (which can also provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise opportunities for the Spurs.
The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted an enormous 22.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Cameron Johnson has made a measly 72.2% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 82.1 rate last year.
The Spurs have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games while on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Cameron Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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