Cameron Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Cameron Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Cameron Johnson

F · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Cameron Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Cameron Johnson has sunk 2.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Cameron Johnson has converted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing at home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have tallied the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (11.1).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games away from home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 27.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the NBA).
The Phoenix Suns have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Suns have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Mavericks.

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