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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the league) against the Hawks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The Heat will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Caleb Martin has attempted and missed 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's missed from downtown in all games this year.

The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the visting team with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Caleb Martin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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