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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has converted 66.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 27.5% more than he's converted from three overall this year.

With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 37.6% rate of made threes measures as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 32.9% on three-pointers (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a difficult matchup.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays today from facing the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Caleb Martin has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player production in all facets of the game.

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