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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has converted 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 27.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The matchup vs. the Detroit Pistons is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (31.5).

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).

Caleb Martin has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 14.2% more than he's converted overall this season playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

This year, opposing teams have attempted 26.3 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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