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Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Caleb Martin has made 57.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 12.2% more than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home.

Caleb Martin has averaged a terrific 29.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 20.1 minutes per game last season.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have averaged the least threes per game in the NBA this year (11.0).

Caleb Martin has sunk 91.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a massive 25.1 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-most in the NBA).

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