Buddy Hield Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 26, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has tallied 4.2 defensive boards per game away from home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Buddy Hield has played 35.5 minutes per game over the last 13 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's played in all games this season.
The Pacers have played at the speediest tempo in the league away from their home court this year.
The Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 10thbest in in the league while playing at home with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Compared to his full-year clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Buddy Hield's rate of personal fouls has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 13 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have nabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Wizards (lengthening possessions that can produce further chances for offense).

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