Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2025

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 10, 2025

Updated May 11, 2025 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Buddy Hield registers in the 90th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc with the home court advantage, compiling 6.5 per game this year.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's made overall this season.
Buddy Hield is expected to see an increase in efficiency across the board considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Golden State Warriors.
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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