Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2025

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2025

Updated May 8, 2025 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield ranks in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 6.5 per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.2% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

Favors Under

As it relates to shooting, the Warriors's lackluster 91.0 points per game as the away team settles in as the lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.3 3-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Warriors.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).