Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2025

Updated May 6, 2025 9:33 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has successfully made 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year.
The Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has missed 0.1 free throw attempts per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 20th percentile for misses .

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage settles in as the 5th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest FG% in the league this year (40.6%).
The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Golden State Warriors will likely experience a decrease in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).
This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.