Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2025

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 3d 12:56:11 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · May 4, 2025

Updated May 4, 2025 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield rates in the 92nd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 6.6 per game this year.
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 17.8% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Houston is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Houston Rockets are at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
As it relates to offense, the Warriors's poor 45.0% field goal rate comes in as the 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 26.1% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a challenging matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Warriors.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Golden State Warriors.