Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 30, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 7:28 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield measures in the 92nd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 6.6 per game this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Buddy Hield has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 17.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.
The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 free throws per game this year when the Houston Rockets are at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (26.1%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Buddy Hield will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.