Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets · Apr 28, 2025

Updated Apr 28, 2025 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 8.2 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, branding this as a good matchup.
The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 17.8% more than he's sunk overall this season.
Buddy Hield will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance across the board.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Warriors's feeble 106.4 points per game ranks 9th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are the visiting squad (2nd-least in the league).