Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield measures in the 89th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while playing at home, totaling 6.4 per game this year.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Buddy Hield ought to see an increase in performance across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Warriors's feeble 112.7 points per game playing at home measures as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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