Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has sunk 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made from three overall this year with the home court advantage.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield slots into the 22nd percentile for scoring ability with a subpar 39.2% rate this year.
The Warriors have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.

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