Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 6.6 treys per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Pistons).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.4% higher than he's made in all games this season.
The matchup against the Pistons may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Pistons, marking this as a challenging matchup.
As a team, the Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line playing at home: 4th-worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 19.7 foul shot attempts per game.

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