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Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.4 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Buddy Hield has successfully made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Buddy Hield has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 20.9 free throws per game.

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Buddy Hield should see a decline in output in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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