Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 12, 2025 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has attempted 13.4 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Buddy Hield has successfully made 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Buddy Hield has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 20.9 free throws per game.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Buddy Hield should see a decline in output in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.