Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 10, 2025

Updated Jan 10, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a spike in plays today from competing against the 5th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Indiana Pacers).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 10.0% higher than he's converted overall this year without the home court advantage.
The matchup against Indiana is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Pacers are at home (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Warriors's poor 102.0 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court.
Buddy Hield will likely suffer a reduction in production for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.