Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 7:00 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield lands in the 93rd percentile for 3-point shots sunk, logging 2.7 per game this year.
Over the last 16 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up 19.5 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive output.
The Warriors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Warriors have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
Buddy Hield stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.