Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 10:05 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Buddy Hield comes in at the 94th percentile for three-point shots sunk away from home, putting up 3.1 per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Buddy Hield has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots on the road this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Warriors's feeble 43.0% field goal rate places 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (11.6).
Buddy Hield will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.