Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 10:21 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield slots into the 95th percentile for threes scored on his home court, averaging 3.3 per game this year.
The Warriors will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 2nd-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Buddy Hield slots into the 96th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a stellar 95.5% rate this year.
Buddy Hield stands to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Warriors's feeble 106.5 points per game measures as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 15 games.
This matchup is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 17 games when the Indiana Pacers are the visiting squad (36.2).
The 10th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Golden State Warriors.