Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 21, 2024 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has converted 49.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Relative to last season's 2.5 mark, Buddy Hield's three-pointers scored have risen this season to 3.2 per game.
The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

When it comes to shots from downtown, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 32.7% rate of sunk threes as the away team comes in as the 8th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Buddy Hield will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.