Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 8:34 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Buddy Hield places in the 95th percentile for 3-point shots scored when playing at home, logging 3.3 per game this year.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Buddy Hield places in the 96th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with an exceptional 95.5% rate this year.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's poor 104.0 points per game comes in as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The faceoff with Kyrie Irving comes in at the 24th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting SGs making only 42.0% of their field goal attempts this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.