Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 11, 2024

Updated Dec 11, 2024 9:33 PM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has made an impressive 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 mark last season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to boost opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Buddy Hield has made 90.0% of his free throws away from his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 24.8% on threes (worst in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
Buddy Hield figures to suffer a drop-off in output across the board on account of being on the road in this game.