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Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The fastest tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the league with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

The Rockets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (7.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Buddy Hield will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally increases stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Buddy Hield has attempted a mere 10.0 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 13.0 rate last season.

In contrast to last season's 8.5 rate, Buddy Hield's shots from behind the three-point arc have fallen this season to 7.0 per game.

Relative to last season's 31.1 mark, Buddy Hield's playing time has fallen this season to 25.8 minutes per game.

As a team, the Pacers have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games with a lowly 19.5 free throw attempts per game.

This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, their opposition has attempted a colossal 28.0 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

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