Buddy Hield Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

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Buddy Hield

NBA · Player Props

Buddy Hield

G · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Buddy Hield Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Buddy Hield has made 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on the road.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have notched 21.5 points per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The speediest pace road team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks (reducing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Indiana Pacers.
As a team, the Pacers have been lousy at getting to the charity stripe recently: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, tallying a measly 17.6 foul shots per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Knicks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Buddy Hield will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all stat categories.

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